All Access tool

Prop Challenge Simulator

Run 10,000 simulated prop firm challenges from your win rate, reward-to-risk, risk per trade and the firm's drawdown rules. See the pass rate, how long a pass takes and how often the account blows up.

Monte Carlo pass rate from 10,000 runs
End-of-day, intraday or static trailing drawdown
Daily loss limit and consistency rule
Days-to-pass and blow-up distribution
Compare risk per trade side by side

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Sample output

Example inputs, so you can see what the tool gives you. Members run it on their own numbers.

Sample inputs

Account: Topstep 50K Combine
Profit target / max loss: $3,000 / $2,000 end-of-day trailing
Consistency rule: Best day ≤ 50% of profit
Win rate: 45%
Reward : risk: 2 : 1
Risk per trade: $200 plus $5 fees
Trades per day: 3, for up to 30 days

85.9%

of 10,000 simulated challenges passed

These numbers pass most simulated challenges. Most failed runs hit the $2,000 max loss first: about 10 straight losing trades ends the challenge, and a trailing floor shrinks that room as you make new highs. Your current risk per trade has the best pass rate of the four sizes compared.

Outcomes

Passed85.9%
Failed: max loss9.4%
Failed: daily loss limit0.0%
Ran out of days4.7%

Days to pass

Median 14 trading days; half of passing runs took 10 to 19.

Day 1–2: 0 runs
Day 3–4: 68 runs
Day 5–6: 486 runs
Day 7–8: 920 runs
Day 9–10: 1,126 runs
Day 11–12: 1,108 runs
Day 13–14: 1,053 runs
Day 15–16: 920 runs
Day 17–18: 733 runs
Day 19–20: 620 runs
Day 21–22: 489 runs
Day 23–24: 375 runs
Day 25–26: 270 runs
Day 27–28: 249 runs
Day 29–30: 170 runs

Compare risk per trade

Pass rate, failure rates and median days to pass at half, one, one and a half and two times your risk per trade
Risk	Pass	LossMax loss	DailyDaily limit	TimeOut of days	DaysMedian days
$1000.5×	46.3%	0.7%	0.0%	53.0%	23
$2001× (yours)	85.9%	9.4%	0.0%	4.7%	14
$3001.5×	80.3%	19.0%	0.0%	0.7%	10
$4002×	70.2%	29.6%	0.0%	0.3%	8